Monday, February 06, 2012  
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Market Outlook Monday, February 06, 2012: 09:31

Hang Seng Index closed up 17 points or 0.1% at 20,756 last Friday. Market turnover decreased to $63.4 billion. Heavily weighted HSBC (5) and China Mobile (941) retreated 0.2% and 1.1% respectively. Hutchison (13), the most active stock, surged 3.3% fuelled by the acquisition of Orange Austria. Export-oriented stocks rallied on signs of recovery for the U.S. economy. Li & Fung (494), Esprit (330), China Merchants (144) advanced 1.8%-2.6%. Tingyi (322), the worst performing blue chip company, slid 1.8%. HSCEI rose 0.2%. Pharmaceutical, shipping and non-ferrous metal stocks outperformed the HSCEI. Sinopharm (1099) jumped 11.7% as the Chinese government would increase the subsidy for medical insurance. China Cosco (1919) added 5.4% after the company announced hike in freight rates. Zijin Mining (2899), Jiangxi Copper (358) and Chalco (2600) climbed 1.0%-1.7%. Dongfeng Motor (489) and GAC (2238), the worst performing HSCEI stocks, tumbled 2.3%-3.2%. Chinese banks, insurers and property developers showed mixed performance.

Hang Seng Index may test 21,000 in near term given the rally in U.S. stock markets. However, a fall in U.S. unemployment rate to 3-year low may raise doubts about Fed’s low interest rate policy. We reiterate our view that short-term investors should take profit on cyclical stocks. We also recommend an underweight position on Chinese property developers given poor property sales for January.

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Previous Market Outlooks
3/2/2012
2/2/2012
1/2/2012
31/1/2012
30/1/2012
27/1/2012
27/1/2012
 


This commentary/recommendation is for information only and is not to be construed as investment advice or as an offer to buy or sell securities. While the commentary/recommendation is compiled using sources believed to be reliable, no assurance or guarantee is given regarding its accuracy nor completeness. Neither GCap nor any other Guoco Group companies, (nor any employees or other persons connected with any of them) accepts any responsibility or liability arising from any use of this commentary/recommendation. To the extent permitted under applicable law, the above-mentioned companies or individuals may have used the research materials before publication. However, it is hereby declared that neither GCap nor the writer, at the time of writing, has interest in any of the securities mentioned in this commentary/recommendation.